AI Bubble Monitor · Grafo economico della filiera AI
Flussi diretti documentati tra L1, L2 e L3 · osservato 2026-07-31T05:09:55+02:00
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relazioni curateinvestimentoforniturapagamento/commitment● verde: quotata● rosso: non quotataClick: focus · Hover 2 secondi: prodotti e rapporto diretto · Esc: reset
Leggere gli importi per natura. Investimento, contratto massimo, commitment pluriennale, cloud credit e capex non sono sommabili. Una doppia freccia fornitura/pagamento descrive lo stesso contratto da due direzioni e non va conteggiata due volte.
Registro relazioni e fonti
| Da | Relazione | A | Importo | Natura | Data | Fonte | Conf. | Nota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | invests_in | OpenAI | USD 1B | cash_and_compute | 2019-07-22 | Microsoft | high | Announced investment; source states USD 1 billion. |
| Microsoft | supplies | OpenAI | USD 250B | cloud_compute | 2025-10-28 | OpenAI | high | Incremental USD 250B contracted Azure services; commitment, not recognized revenue. |
| OpenAI | pays_or_commits_to | Microsoft | USD 250B | purchase_commitment | 2025-10-28 | OpenAI | high | Money-flow view of azure-openai; do not sum both edges. |
| SoftBank Group | invests_in | OpenAI | USD 30B | equity | 2026 | OpenAI | high | Part of OpenAI's announced USD 110B round; do not add it again to the round total. |
| Amazon | invests_in | OpenAI | USD 50B | equity | 2026-02-27 | OpenAI | high | USD 15B initial plus USD 35B subject to conditions; part of the announced USD 110B round. |
| NVIDIA | invests_in | OpenAI | USD 30B | equity | 2026 | OpenAI | high | Part of the USD 110B round. A prior up-to-USD 100B infrastructure LOI is not added. |
| Amazon | supplies | OpenAI | USD 138B | cloud_compute_contract | 2026-02-27 | OpenAI | high | USD 38B original agreement plus USD 100B expansion over eight years; not recognized revenue. |
| OpenAI | pays_or_commits_to | Amazon | USD 138B | purchase_commitment | 2026-02-27 | OpenAI | high | Money-flow view of aws-openai-supply; do not sum both edges. Includes about 2GW Trainium capacity. |
| NVIDIA | supplies | OpenAI | 10 GW | accelerator_systems | 2025-09-22 | NVIDIA | high | Letter of intent for at least 10GW; purchase value not disclosed. |
| AMD | supplies | OpenAI | 6 GW | accelerator_systems | 2025-10-06 | OpenAI | high | AMD also issued a milestone-based warrant for up to 160M AMD shares; not valued here. |
| Oracle | supplies | OpenAI | 4.5 GW | datacenter_capacity | 2025-07-22 | OpenAI | high | Additional Stargate capacity under development; monetary value not disclosed. |
| Broadcom | supplies | OpenAI | 10 GW | custom_accelerators_and_networking | 2025-10-13 | Broadcom | high | Co-developed accelerators and networking; monetary value not disclosed. |
| Amazon | invests_in | Anthropic | USD 13B cumulativi | equity | 2026-04-20 | Anthropic | high | Cumulative total after a new USD 5B investment; Amazon remains a minority investor. |
| Amazon | invests_in | Anthropic | USD 20B | equity | 2026-04-20 | Amazon | high | Up to USD 20B future investment tied to commercial milestones; not funded capital as of announcement. |
| Amazon | supplies | Anthropic | > USD 100B | cloud_compute_commitment | 2026-04-20 | Anthropic | high | More than USD 100B over ten years for up to 5GW; AWS is primary cloud/training provider. |
| Anthropic | pays_or_commits_to | Amazon | > USD 100B | purchase_commitment | 2026-04-20 | Anthropic | high | Money-flow view of aws-anthropic; do not sum both edges. |
| Microsoft | invests_in | Anthropic | USD 5B | equity | 2025-11-18 | Anthropic | high | Microsoft committed to invest up to USD 5B. |
| NVIDIA | invests_in | Anthropic | USD 10B | equity | 2025-11-18 | Anthropic | high | NVIDIA committed to invest up to USD 10B. |
| Microsoft | supplies | Anthropic | USD 30B | cloud_compute_commitment | 2025-11-18 | Anthropic | high | Anthropic committed to purchase USD 30B Azure capacity plus up to 1GW additional compute. |
| Anthropic | pays_or_commits_to | Microsoft | USD 30B | purchase_commitment | 2025-11-18 | Anthropic | high | Money-flow view of azure-anthropic-supply; do not sum both edges. |
| Alphabet | supplies | Anthropic | tens of USD B | tpu_cloud_compute | 2025-10-23 | Anthropic | high | Up to one million TPUs. Source says 'tens of billions'; no fabricated point estimate. |
| Broadcom | supplies | Anthropic | multiple GW | joint_google_broadcom_tpu_capacity | 2026-04-06 | Anthropic | high | Joint Google/Broadcom next-generation TPU agreement; no vendor-level money or GW allocation disclosed. |
| Fluidstack | supplies | Anthropic | USD 50B project* | datacenter_delivery | 2025-11-12 | Anthropic | high | USD 50B is Anthropic's total U.S. infrastructure program, not a disclosed payment or allocation to Fluidstack. |
| NVIDIA | supplies | CoreWeave | importo non pubblico | accelerator_purchases | n.d. | CoreWeave SEC filing | high | CoreWeave purchases NVIDIA accelerators; use filing-level values when added. |
| CoreWeave | supplies | OpenAI | USD 22.4B | contract_value | 2025-09-25 | CoreWeave IR | high | USD 11.9B initial plus USD 4B and USD 6.5B expansions; approximate maximum, not recognized revenue. |
| OpenAI | pays_or_commits_to | CoreWeave | USD 22.4B | purchase_commitment | 2025-09-25 | CoreWeave IR | high | Money-flow view of the same contract as coreweave-openai-supply; do not sum both edges. |
| OpenAI | invests_in | CoreWeave | USD 350M | equity | 2025-03-10 | CoreWeave IR | high | OpenAI received CoreWeave stock worth USD 350M in the initial transaction. |
| ASML | invests_in | Mistral AI | EUR 1.3B | equity | 2025-09-09 | ASML | high | ASML invested EUR 1.3B and disclosed approximately 11% fully diluted ownership. |
| Microsoft | supplies | Mistral AI | importo non pubblico | cloud_compute_and_distribution | 2024-02-26 | Microsoft Azure | high | Azure supercomputing and model distribution; spend and credits undisclosed. |
| NVIDIA | supplies | xAI | 100k GPUs | gpu_and_network_stack | 2024-12-23 | xAI | high | 100,000 Hopper GPUs operational; 200,000 combined target was prospective. Spend undisclosed. |
| Super Micro Computer | supplies | xAI | 100k-GPU cluster | server_and_liquid_cooling | 2024-10-25 | Supermicro | high | Supermicro helped build the same 100,000-GPU Colossus cluster; do not add to NVIDIA GPU count. |
| NVIDIA | invests_in | xAI | importo non pubblico | equity_round_participation | 2026-01-06 | xAI | high | NVIDIA participated in xAI Series C and USD 20B Series E; individual allocation undisclosed. |
| AMD | invests_in | xAI | importo non pubblico | equity_round_participation | 2024-12-23 | xAI | high | AMD participated in the USD 6B Series C; individual allocation undisclosed. |
| Cisco Systems | invests_in | xAI | importo non pubblico | equity_round_participation | 2026-01-06 | xAI | high | Cisco Investments participated in the USD 20B Series E; individual allocation undisclosed. |
| Meta Platforms | invests_in | Scale AI | USD 13.79B | equity | 2025-06 | Meta Q2 2025 Form 10-Q | high | Non-voting minority equity amount booked by Meta; not the broader headline transaction total. |
| Scale AI | supplies | Meta Platforms | importo non pubblico | data_and_ai_services | 2025-06-18 | Scale AI | high | Commercial relationship extended; contract amount, duration and exclusivity undisclosed. |
| Alibaba | invests_in | Moonshot AI / Kimi | USD 800M | preferred_equity | 2024-05-23 | Alibaba FY2024 filing | high | Alibaba disclosed approximately USD 0.8B (RMB 5.9B) for approximately 36% of Moonshot. Same investment in two currencies; not the total funding round and ownership may later dilute. |
| Alibaba | supplies | Moonshot AI / Kimi | importo non pubblico | cloud_infrastructure | 2025 | Alibaba Cloud | high | Moonshot/Kimi uses Alibaba Cloud ACK, ACS, OSS, ECS and SLS for data processing, compute, storage and observability. This does not prove exclusivity or the entire training stack. |
| Anthropic | supplies | Databricks | 5 years | model_distribution | 2025-03-26 | Databricks | high | Claude models supplied natively through Databricks; dollar value undisclosed. |
| Databricks | partners_with | OpenAI | USD 100M | partnership_value | 2025-09-25 | Databricks | high | USD 100M partnership value; payment direction undisclosed, so not classified as either party's spend. |
| AMD | supplies | Cohere | importo non pubblico | gpu_infrastructure | 2025-09-24 | AMD | high | AMD compute support for Cohere; committed volume and spend undisclosed. |
| The Stargate Project | supplies | OpenAI | USD 500B envelope | project_envelope | 2025-01-21 | OpenAI | high | Four-year project-level intent with USD 100B initial deployment; not additive to underlying supplier contracts. |
| SoftBank Group | invests_in | The Stargate Project | importo non pubblico | equity_funding | 2025-01-21 | OpenAI | high | Initial equity funder; individual allocation undisclosed. |
| OpenAI | invests_in | The Stargate Project | importo non pubblico | equity_funding | 2025-01-21 | OpenAI | high | Initial equity funder and operational lead; individual allocation undisclosed. |
| Oracle | invests_in | The Stargate Project | importo non pubblico | equity_funding | 2025-01-21 | OpenAI | high | Initial equity funder; individual allocation undisclosed. |
| MGX | invests_in | The Stargate Project | importo non pubblico | equity_funding | 2025-01-21 | OpenAI | high | Initial equity funder; individual allocation undisclosed. |
| TSMC | supplies | NVIDIA | importo non pubblico | foundry_and_packaging | n.d. | NVIDIA annual report | high | Direct manufacturing dependency; customer-specific amount unavailable. |
| SK Hynix | supplies | NVIDIA | importo non pubblico | hbm_memory | n.d. | SK Hynix IR | medium | HBM supply relationship; exact value unavailable. |
| Micron Technology | supplies | NVIDIA | importo non pubblico | hbm_memory | n.d. | Micron IR | medium | HBM qualification/supply relationship; exact value unavailable. |
| ASML | supplies | TSMC | importo non pubblico | lithography_equipment | n.d. | ASML annual report | high | Direct equipment relationship; amount unavailable. |
| Synopsys | supplies | NVIDIA | importo non pubblico | eda_and_ip | n.d. | Synopsys | medium | EDA/IP relationship; contract value unavailable. |
| Cadence Design Systems | supplies | NVIDIA | importo non pubblico | eda_software | n.d. | Cadence | medium | EDA relationship; contract value unavailable. |
| Constellation Energy | supplies | Microsoft | importo non pubblico | power_purchase_agreement | 2024-09-20 | Constellation Energy | high | 20-year power purchase agreement; monetary value not disclosed. |